ACUS11 KWNS 132305
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132305=20
KSZ000-MOZ000-140000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0409
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0605 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Areas affected...Northeast Kansas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 132305Z - 140000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...There is the potential for a tornadic supercell this
evening, but storm longevity is in question.

DISCUSSION...Some supercell structures have been noted with a storm
that formed earlier southwest of Emporia, though this storm has
struggled some to maintain intensity. More recent attempts at
updrafts south-through-west of this initial storm could lead to
mergers and some potential for a sufficiently large/deep storm to
take advantage of the downstream environment. If a sustained storm
emerges over northeast KS the next 1-2 hours, downstream dewpoints
in the upper 60s and enlarging low-level hodographs this evening
will support tornado potential in addition to large hail. This area
will continue to be monitored closely for a possible/small tornado
watch.

..Thompson/Hart.. 04/13/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9Q6WA4SCc-U71tRNZvEGSRaGRVgD45bSG4VnhnoFlz1Ki8S4YfGPeEePQUPDxFZj4cZGXqNC0= DJRllvrD-Co3OR1MQ4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...

LAT...LON 38729617 39239576 39419533 39389485 39039461 38599480
38419525 38379582 38379608 38729617=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)