ACUS11 KWNS 112044
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112044=20
COZ000-WYZ000-UTZ000-MTZ000-IDZ000-112245-

Mesoscale Discussion 0382
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0344 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Areas affected...portions of southeastern Idaho...northeastern
Utah...extreme northwest Colorado...western Wyoming

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 112044Z - 112245Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A few additional severe gusts are still possible with the
stronger storms, and an instance or two of hail cannot be ruled out.

DISCUSSION...At least scattered thunderstorms persist immediately
ahead of a well-defined mid-level vorticity maximum, which continues
to overspread the central/northern Rockies. Multiple severe gusts
have been measured, with some hail reported as well with the primary
convective band along the UT/ID/WY border area. 20Z mesoanalysis
depicts 500-1000 J/kg amid 30 kts of effective bulk shear preceding
the storms, suggesting that additional severe gusts and even some
hail may still occur with the stronger storms. The severe threat is
still expected to remain isolated, with a WW issuance still
unlikely.

..Squitieri/Mosier.. 04/11/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5HKbOEycnZEkJ9fyXpPxO6GUqYUXfdzjg0OiyAVNyDsV0YCVjz_0DozeSQcncLPm_hdXGkLH9= F6Gh4XsDdxTwKGvgVU$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RIW...GJT...TFX...SLC...PIH...

LAT...LON 40350820 39170862 38760913 38540970 38531011 38721032
39101044 39501065 40121152 40381185 40781231 41171257
41551261 42191222 43461191 44301144 44491105 44611031
44590906 44050851 43350821 41750809 40350820=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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