947
AXNT20 KNHC 201028
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Mar 20 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1020 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

East Atlantic Gale Warning: Meteo-France has issued a gale
warning, in effect for the high seas zones of Irving, west of
Madeira, Meteor and Agadir, until 21/00 UTC at least, with severe
gusts. Please refer to the next Special Feature for details on
associated very large swells. Please refer to the high seas
forecast issued by Meteo-France on the website:
https://wwmiws.wmo.int for more details.

East Atlantic Long-period N Swell: Very large, long-period north
swell generated by a large fetch of gale to storm-force winds in
the northeast Atlantic will continue to propagate southward of 31N
through the weekend. Expect seas of 12-24 ft into Sat night,
mainly N of the Cape Verde Islands and east of 43W. Seas across
these northeastern waters will then gradually reduce in areal
coverage with the remaining very rough seas subsiding below 12 ft
near the Canary Islands Mon. Please refer to the latest High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Liberia near 06N11W, then curves southwestward to 04N14W. The
ITCZ extends from 04N14W to 01N30W to 01S47W. Scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is observed from 06S to 05N and
west of 16W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

Surface ridging anchored by a 1024 mb high near the mouth of the
Mississippi River extends basin-wide, maintaining fairly tranquil
weather conditions. The pressure gradient between this ridge and
a stationary front SE of the area is leading to fresh to locally
strong NE winds across the SE Gulf, along with moderate to rough
seas. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are elsewhere.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge across
the Gulf region and a weakening stationary front over the western
Caribbean Sea will continue to support fresh to locally strong NE
winds and moderate to rough seas over the SE Gulf, including the
Straits of Florida, through today. Moderate to fresh NE winds are
expected nightly, through the forecast period, across the eastern
Bay of Campeche due to local effects associated with a thermal
trough. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds, and slight to
moderate seas will prevail through Tue night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A weakening stationary front extends from eastern Cuba to the
offshore waters of northern Costa Rica. A few showers are noted
ahead of the front. Fresh to locally strong N winds prevail W of
the front, with seas to 7 ft. To the east of these features,
gentle to moderate E to SE winds, and slight to moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong N winds and moderate to
rough seas will continue behind the front, which is forecast to
dissipate tonight over the SW Caribbean offshore waters.
Afterward, moderate to locally strong NE winds will remain in the
western Caribbean, including the lee side of Cuba and the Windward
Passage through Sun night as high pressure develops across the
northern Bahamas in the wake of the front. As the ridge shifts
slightly eastward, fresh to strong winds will also develop
offshore Colombia Sun evening and prevail through Tue night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Refer to the Special Features section for details on an east
Atlantic Gale Warning issued by Meteo-France and associated large
northerly swells across the far NE waters.

A stationary front extends from 31N66W to the central Bahamas and
eastern Cuba. A low pressure is now embedded within the front,
which is located near 27N70W. Scattered heavy showers are seen
mainly ahead of the frontal boundary to about 57W. High pressure
building behind the front is supporting fresh to strong northerly
winds and rough to very rough seas to the west of the front while
a broad surface ridge over the central Atlantic supports fresh to
strong southerlies ahead of the front and N of 25N. Rough seas to
10 ft are ahead of the front.

In the east Atlantic, a cold front is just E of the Canary
Islands, which extends to 21N23W to 23N38W. A reinforcing cold
front is approaching the Canary Islands. Strong to near gale
northerly winds and rough to very rough seas are north of 21N and
east of 42W, with hazardous marine conditions in association with
this front depicted further in the aforementioned Special Marine
section above. The rough seas in NE swell extend much farther S
and W, reaching to 15N and as far W as 55W.

For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to near gale force winds and
rough seas on either side of the front, and N of 25N, will
continue to affect the offshores from west to east through the Sun
night as the front transitions to a cold front today. Looking
ahead, a new cold front is forecast to enter the NE Florida
offshore waters Mon night into Tue, followed by fresh to strong NE
to E winds and rough seas. These marine conditions are forecast
to affect most of the waters N of 27N through the middle of the next week.

$$
Ramos
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)

805
AXNT20 KNHC 071001
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Apr 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0930 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: A stationary front extends from 31N75W to
near Melbourne, Florida. This front will drift SE today, then
stall through much of the week along a Bermuda to Florida Straits
line. Low pressure will track NE along the boundary from the
Florida Peninsula tonight to N of the area near Bermuda Thu.
Thunderstorms with gusty winds will accompany this low pressure.
As strong high pressure builds toward the region from the SE U.S.,
the pressure gradient between it and the cold front will be quite
tight, and NE gales will develop offshore NE Florida this
morning. These gales will spread E to about 73W, mainly N of 28N,
through Wed night, before gradually ending as the low pressure
moves N of the area. Very rough seas of 16 to 19 ft will be
generated by these gales,

Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php
for more information on the Gale Warning.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the African coast at
08N12W, then reaches SW to 01N24W. The ITCZ extends from 00N26W
to 00N45W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
noted S of 04N along both of these features.

...GULF OF Mexico...

A nearly-stationary front extends from just south of Tampa Bay to
a 1013 mb low pressure centered near 24N91W. A cold front then
extends from the low to the western coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Scattered moderate convection is along and south of the
front in the SE Gulf. N of the boundary in the NE Gulf, fresh to
locally strong NE to E winds have developed, and rough seas are
building. W of the cold front as well as in the NW Gulf, fresh to
locally strong N winds prevail, with subsiding rough seas.

For the forecast, fresh to strong winds and rough seas in the SW
Gulf will decrease today, but strong NE winds and rough seas in
the NE Gulf will increase as the low tracks east along the slow-
moving front and across Florida into tonight. Thunderstorms with
locally gusty can be expected across the eastern Gulf ahead of the
low. The front will then stall into late week over the far SE
basin and only gradually dissipate, leaving a tight pressure
gradient between it and building high pressure from the SE U.S.
This will maintain the strong winds and rough seas over the NE
basin much of the week, with near gale conditions possible Wed and
Thu offshore Florida. Conditions will begin to improve somewhat
Fri as the high pressure builds southwestward across the northern Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure in the central
Atlantic and lower pressure in South America is inducing fresh
trades over the central and eastern basin, with seas of 5 to 7 ft.
In the western Caribbean, the typical trade winds have been
disrupted by a cold front to the north in the Gulf of Mexico,
causing winds to be light and seas to be slight. No significant
convection is occurring in the basin early this morning.

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong trades will prevail
over the central and eastern basin into Thu, with gentle to
moderate winds to the west. Strong high pressure will then build
southward from the western Atlantic, leading to increasing winds,
especially in the south-central basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features above for information on a
Gale Warning in the SW N Atlantic.

A stationary front extends from 31N75W to near Melbourne,
Florida. Strong to near gale force NE to E winds are N of this
boundary, with building rough seas. Scattered moderate convection
is south of this boundary, within 120 nm of the Florida coast. A
surface tough extends north from Puerto Rico along 68W to 24N. It
is inducing scattered moderate convection along and W of it to
70W, and is also producing strong southerly winds just E of its
axis. In the eastern Atlantic, a weakening cold front extends from
just NW of the Canary Islands, to 26N30W to 28N42N. Fresh to
locally strong NE winds follow this front, with building rough to
very rough seas. The rest of the basin, E of 65W, has mainly fresh
trades and moderate seas, although NE swell has propagated ahead
of the eastern Atlantic cold front, and rough seas now cover
waters N of 20N and E of 50W.

For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extends from
31N75W to near Melbourne, Florida. This front will drift SE today,
then stall through much of the week along a Bermuda to Florida
Straits line. Low pressure will track NE along the boundary from
the Florida Peninsula tonight to N of the area near Bermuda Thu.
Thunderstorms with gusty winds will accompany this low pressure.
As strong high pressure builds toward the region from the SE U.S.,
the pressure gradient between it and the cold front will be quite
tight, and NE gales will develop offshore NE Florida this
morning. These gales will spread E to about 73W, mainly N of 28N,
through Wed night, before gradually ending as the low pressure
moves N of the area. Very rough seas of 16 to 19 ft will be
generated by these gales, and rough seas in N swell will impact a
much larger area through the end of the week. The front is likely
to linger over the basin into the weekend, so marine conditions
could be slow to improve.

$$
Konarik
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: Project Scorpio TEST (1:2320/106)

999
AXNT20 KNHC 140948
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Apr 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0945 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gale Warning E of 35W: Meteo-France has a Gale Warning in effect
for the marine zone of Agadir through 14/12Z. These conditions
are due to the pressure gradient between high pressure located
NW of the Madeira Islands near 34N19W and relatively lower
pressures in NW Africa. Also, expect severe gusts, and very rough
seas in long period NW swell. Please refer to the Meteo-France
High Seas Forecast product, listed on the website at
https://wwmiws.wmo.int for more information.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10.5N15W, then continues
southward to 02N20W to 01N27W. The ITCZ extends from 01N27W to NE
Brazil near 01S48W. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of
05N between 18W and 50W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge dominates the Gulf region. Under the influence of this
system, fresh to strong NE to E winds and moderate to rough seas
are noted over the SE Gulf, including the Straits of Florida.
Similar wind speeds are observed off the Yucatan peninsula,
particularly from 20N to 23N between 88W and 92W. These winds are
associated with a thermal trough. Moderate to locally fresh E to
SE winds and moderate seas are observed elsewhere, except in the
far NE Gulf where light to gentle winds and slight seas are
occurring. Cold air stratocumulus clouds are moving across South
Florida and the Straits of Florida into the SE Gulf.

For the forecast, high pressure centered over the west-central
Atlantic extends a ridge across Florida into the Gulf. This will
maintain moderate to fresh E to SE winds and mostly moderate seas
through Sat, except in the NE and N-central parts of the basin
where mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
will prevail. Expect stronger winds to pulse across the SE part of
the Gulf, including the Florida Straits, through this evening,
and off the Yucatan Peninsula each night through Wed, driven by
local effects associated with a thermal trough.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A stationary front over the Atlantic located just N of Puerto Rico
and a pre-frontal trough are helping to induce scattered showers
and thunderstorms over the NE Caribbean, mainly N of 15N and E of
70W. High pressure over the west-central Atlantic combined with
the Colombian low supports fresh to strong trades in the south-
central Caribbean where seas are 7 to 9 ft per altimeter data.
Similar wind speeds are found in the Lee of Cuba, in the Windward
Passage, and just S of the Dominican Republic. Moderate to locally
fresh winds dominate the remainder of the basin. Seas are 6 to 8
ft downwind of the Windward Passage, including between Haiti and
Jamaica, and 5 to 7 ft in the Lee of Cuba. Moderate seas are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, high pressure over the west-central Atlantic combined
with the Colombian low will maintain fresh to locally strong trade
winds and rough seas over the south-central Caribbean and near the
coast of Colombia through Wed night. Fresh to strong northeast winds
and building seas will prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage,
and south of Hispaniola through Wed night as well. Winds and seas
will diminish across the basin late in the week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning off Morocco.

As previously mentioned, a stationary front is just N of Puerto
Rico generating scattered showers with embedded thunderstorms.
Fresh to strong NE winds and seas of 8 to 12 ft are found near
and behind the aforementioned frontal boundary, with the exception
of moderate to locally fresh E winds and 4 to 6 ft seas off NE
and central Florida. High pressure follows the front and extends a
ridge across the western Atlantic and Florida into the Gulf of
America. E of the front, high pressure of 1026 mb located NW of
the Madeira Islands dominates the remainder of the Atlantic
forecast region. Fresh to strong N to NE winds up to 30 kt, and
seas up to 13 ft in long period NW swell are noted per scatterometer
and altimeter data N of 20N and E of 20W, including the Canary
Islands. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate to rough seas
dominate the tropical Atlantic. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, convection will continue along a
stationary front that is weakening into a surface trough just N
of Puerto Rico. The trough will drift west toward Hispaniola on
Wed, and the SE Bahamas on Thu. Strong NE winds and rough seas
will persist W of the trough, with conditions gradually improving
toward the end of the work-week as the trough weakens.

$$
GR

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
--- MultiMail/DOS
* Origin: Project Scorpio TEST (1:2320/106)